2026 midterm forecast
Wyoming
Three races on Wyoming's November 3 ballot: the Senate, the governor and the at-large House seat.
Forecast published October 30, 2026
Wyoming Senate
James W. Byrd (D) vs. Harriet Hageman (R)
Chance to win
>99%
Hageman
Projected margin
R+39.1
Hageman is the overwhelming favorite to replace Lummis in Wyoming
Read the forecastWyoming governor
Kenneth Casner (D) vs. Eric Barlow (R)
Chance to win
>99%
Barlow
Projected margin
R+34.2
Barlow is on track to keep Wyoming's governorship Republican
Read the forecastWyoming House
The at-large House seat
Expected seats
0 D · 1 R
Statewide House vote
R+40.4
Republicans hold a commanding lead for Wyoming's only House seat
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