2026 midterm forecast
South Carolina
Three races on South Carolina's November 3 ballot: the Senate, the governor and all 7 House seats.
Forecast published October 30, 2026
South Carolina Senate
Annie Andrews (D) vs. Darline Graham (R)
Chance to win
74%
Graham
Projected margin
R+3.6
Graham's narrow edge keeps South Carolina's Senate race in play
Read the forecastSouth Carolina governor
Jermaine Johnson (D) vs. Alan Wilson (R)
Chance to win
96%
Wilson
Projected margin
R+9.9
Wilson is favored to hold South Carolina's open governorship for Republicans
Read the forecastSouth Carolina House
All 7 House seats
Expected seats
2 D · 5 R
Statewide House vote
R+7.7
Republicans narrowly lead in SC-02, South Carolina's closest House race
Read the forecast