2026 midterm forecast

Rhode Island

Three races on Rhode Island's November 3 ballot: the Senate, the governor and all 2 House seats.

Forecast published October 30, 2026

Rhode Island Senate

Jack Reed (D) vs. Raymond McKay (R)

Chance to win

>99%

Reed

Projected margin

D+28.2

Reed is cruising toward another Senate term in Rhode Island

Helena Foulkes (D) vs. Aaron Guckian (R)

Chance to win

>99%

Foulkes

Projected margin

D+34.4

Foulkes is the clear favorite for Rhode Island's open governorship

All 2 House seats

Expected seats

2 D · 0 R

Statewide House vote

D+21.7

Democrats are set to keep both of Rhode Island's House seats