2026 midterm forecast
New Hampshire House
All 2 House seats
Forecast published October 30, 2026 · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Foresight forecast
Expected seats
2 D · 0 R
of 2
Seats today
2 D · 0 R
Statewide House vote
D+13.7
98% D · ±12 points, 95% range
Statewide two-party House vote · 18% of likely voters undecided
Key insights
Democrats are on course to keep New Hampshire's two House seats
New Hampshire's two House seats are both in Democratic hands, and the party is favored to keep them by double digits. NH-01 is the tighter race, at 12.0 points, compared with 15.4 in NH-02.
Republicans carry just one group, voters without a degree, and only by 0.5 points. College graduates favor Democrats by 36.3. Republicans also keep less of their base, holding 85% of 2024 Trump voters while Democrats hold 98% of Harris voters.
The race
New Hampshire elects 2 members of the U.S. House. Today's delegation: 2 Democrats.
District by district
Foresight's forecast for each district, as drawn for 2026.
| District | Candidates | Held by | Margin | Chance | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NH-01 | Stefany Shaheen (D) vs. Anthony DiLorenzo (R) | D | D+12.0 | 94% D | Likely D |
| NH-02 | Maggie Goodlander (D) vs. Lily Williams (R) | D | D+15.4 | 97% D | Safe D |
Vote by group
Own vote of likely voters in each group, two-party margin.DemocratsRepublicans
Age
Gender
Education
Area
By county
Foresight's margin in each county.
County margins in points. Faded: fewer than 5 respondents. Blank: no respondents.
How this forecast is made: read the method.