2026 midterm forecast

New Hampshire

Three races on New Hampshire's November 3 ballot: the Senate, the governor and all 2 House seats.

Forecast published October 30, 2026

New Hampshire Senate

Chris Pappas (D) vs. John E. Sununu (R)

Chance to win

97%

Pappas

Projected margin

D+10.3

Pappas is in position to keep Shaheen's seat for Democrats

Cinde Warmington (D) vs. Kelly Ayotte (R)

Chance to win

93%

Ayotte

Projected margin

R+8.2

Ayotte looks set to win another term as New Hampshire governor

All 2 House seats

Expected seats

2 D · 0 R

Statewide House vote

D+13.7

Democrats are on course to keep New Hampshire's two House seats