2026 midterm forecast

Nebraska

Three races on Nebraska's November 3 ballot: the Senate, the governor and all 3 House seats.

Forecast published October 30, 2026

Nebraska Senate

Dan Osborn (I) vs. Pete Ricketts (R)

Chance to win

55%

Ricketts

Projected margin

R+0.7

Osborn and Ricketts are locked in a dead heat in Nebraska

Lynne Walz (D) vs. Jim Pillen (R)

Chance to win

66%

Pillen

Projected margin

R+2.2

Nebraska's governor race is close, with Pillen slightly ahead

All 3 House seats

Expected seats

2 D · 1 R

Statewide House vote

R+2.5

Nebraska Republicans could lose two of their three House seats