2026 midterm forecast

Maine

Three races on Maine's November 3 ballot: the Senate, the governor and all 2 House seats.

Forecast published October 30, 2026

Maine Senate

Troy Jackson (D) vs. Susan Collins (R)

Chance to win

85%

Jackson

Projected margin

D+5.8

Collins is at risk of losing her Maine seat to Jackson

Hannah Pingree (D) vs. Bobby Charles (R)

Chance to win

98%

Pingree

Projected margin

D+11.7

Charles wins Maine's cities but trails Pingree statewide

All 2 House seats

Expected seats

1 D · 1 R

Statewide House vote

D+13.5

Democrats could lose Maine's 2nd District by a fraction of a point