2026 midterm forecast

Idaho

Three races on Idaho's November 3 ballot: the Senate, the governor and all 2 House seats.

Forecast published October 30, 2026

Idaho Senate

Todd Achilles (I) vs. Jim Risch (R)

Chance to win

>99%

Risch

Projected margin

R+23.9

Independent Achilles faces a steep climb against Risch in Idaho

Terri Pickens (D) vs. Brad Little (R)

Chance to win

>99%

Little

Projected margin

R+28.5

Brad Little is on course for another term as Idaho governor

All 2 House seats

Expected seats

0 D · 2 R

Statewide House vote

R+32.2

Idaho's two House seats should stay Republican