2026 midterm forecast

Georgia

Three races on Georgia's November 3 ballot: the Senate, the governor and all 14 House seats.

Forecast published October 30, 2026

Georgia Senate

Jon Ossoff (D) vs. Mike Collins (R)

Chance to win

95%

Ossoff

Projected margin

D+8.9

Ossoff is in a strong position to hold Georgia's Senate seat

Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) vs. Rick Jackson (R)

Chance to win

67%

Lance Bottoms

Projected margin

D+2.4

Lance Bottoms is slightly favored to flip Georgia's open governor's seat

All 14 House seats

Expected seats

6 D · 8 R

Statewide House vote

D+6.5

Two Georgia House races are tight, and Democrats could gain a seat