2026 midterm forecast

Alabama

Three races on Alabama's November 3 ballot: the Senate, the governor and all 7 House seats.

Forecast published October 30, 2026

Alabama Senate

Everett Wess (D) vs. Barry Moore (R)

Chance to win

>99%

Moore

Projected margin

R+19.9

Barry Moore is far ahead for Alabama's open Senate seat

Doug Jones (D) vs. Tommy Tuberville (R)

Chance to win

98%

Tuberville

Projected margin

R+12.2

Tuberville is the clear favorite to succeed Ivey in Alabama

All 7 House seats

Expected seats

1 D · 6 R

Statewide House vote

R+25.4

Republicans are favored to pick up AL-02 under Alabama's new map