2026 midterm forecast
Wisconsin
Two races on Wisconsin's November 3 ballot: the governor and all 8 House seats.
Forecast published October 30, 2026
Wisconsin governor
David Crowley (D) vs. Tom Tiffany (R)
Chance to win
84%
Crowley
Projected margin
D+5.5
Crowley has the inside track to succeed Evers in Wisconsin
Read the forecastWisconsin House
All 8 House seats
Expected seats
4 D · 4 R
Statewide House vote
D+6.7
Wisconsin's House delegation could end up evenly split
Read the forecast