2026 midterm forecast
Vermont
Two races on Vermont's November 3 ballot: the governor and the at-large House seat.
Forecast published October 30, 2026
Vermont governor
Amanda Janoo (D) vs. Phil Scott (R)
Chance to win
77%
Scott
Projected margin
R+4.4
Vermont's Republican governor holds a modest lead over Janoo
Read the forecastVermont House
The at-large House seat
Expected seats
1 D · 0 R
Statewide House vote
D+40.0
Vermont's lone House seat is not in doubt for Democrats
Read the forecast