2026 midterm forecast
North Carolina
Two races on North Carolina's November 3 ballot: the Senate and all 14 House seats.
Forecast published October 30, 2026
North Carolina Senate
Roy Cooper (D) vs. Michael Whatley (R)
Chance to win
99%
Cooper
Projected margin
D+12.9
North Carolina's open Senate seat looks likely to flip to Cooper
Read the forecastNorth Carolina House
All 14 House seats
Expected seats
8 D · 6 R
Statewide House vote
D+11.2
Democrats are favored to win most of North Carolina's House seats
Read the forecast