2026 midterm forecast
New York
Two races on New York's November 3 ballot: the governor and all 26 House seats.
Forecast published October 30, 2026
New York governor
Kathy Hochul (D) vs. Bruce Blakeman (R)
Chance to win
>99%
Hochul
Projected margin
D+17.4
Hochul is heavily favored to keep New York's governorship
Read the forecastNew York House
All 26 House seats
Expected seats
19 D · 7 R
Statewide House vote
D+18.4
New York Democrats could lose NY-03 but take NY-17
Read the forecast