2026 midterm forecast
Nevada
Two races on Nevada's November 3 ballot: the governor and all 4 House seats.
Forecast published October 30, 2026
Nevada governor
Aaron Ford (D) vs. Joe Lombardo (R)
Chance to win
56%
Ford
Projected margin
D+0.8
Aaron Ford holds a sliver of a lead over Gov. Lombardo
Read the forecastNevada House
All 4 House seats
Expected seats
3 D · 1 R
Statewide House vote
D+6.0
No Nevada House seat is projected to flip
Read the forecast