2026 midterm forecast
Montana
Two races on Montana's November 3 ballot: the Senate and all 2 House seats.
Forecast published October 30, 2026
Montana Senate
Seth Bodnar (I) vs. Kurt Alme (R)
Chance to win
96%
Alme
Projected margin
R+9.7
Alme is the favorite for Montana's open Senate seat
Read the forecastMontana House
All 2 House seats
Expected seats
0 D · 2 R
Statewide House vote
R+17.4
Montana's two House seats look firmly Republican
Read the forecast