2026 midterm forecast
Mississippi
Two races on Mississippi's November 3 ballot: the Senate and all 4 House seats.
Forecast published October 30, 2026
Mississippi Senate
Scott Colom (D) vs. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)
Chance to win
97%
Hyde-Smith
Projected margin
R+12.0
Colom trails Hyde-Smith by 12 points in Mississippi's Senate race
Read the forecastMississippi House
All 4 House seats
Expected seats
1 D · 3 R
Statewide House vote
R+16.6
Mississippi's three-to-one Republican House delegation looks secure
Read the forecast