2026 midterm forecast
Massachusetts House
All 9 House seats
Forecast published October 30, 2026 · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Foresight forecast
Expected seats
9 D · 0 R
of 9
Seats today
9 D · 0 R
Statewide House vote
D+32.1
>99% D · ±12 points, 95% range
Statewide two-party House vote · 15% of likely voters undecided
Key insights
Massachusetts is on track for another all-Democratic House delegation
Every one of the state's nine House seats is held by a Democrat, and all nine are expected to stay that way. Even the closest district, MA-09, favors Democrats by 16.7 points.
The education gap is wide even in a state this Democratic. Democrats win college graduates by 51.3 points, against 12.6 among voters without a degree. Rural voters are the least Democratic by area, at 17.4 points.
The race
Massachusetts elects 9 members of the U.S. House. Today's delegation: 9 Democrats.
District by district
Foresight's forecast for each district, as drawn for 2026.
| District | Candidates | Held by | Margin | Chance | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA-01 | Richard Neal (D) | D | Decided (D) | — | Decided |
| MA-02 | Jim McGovern (D) | D | Decided (D) | — | Decided |
| MA-03 | Lori Trahan (D) vs. Gary Grossi (R) | D | D+23.3 | >99% D | Safe D |
| MA-04 | Jake Auchincloss (D) vs. Thomas Stalcup (R) | D | D+31.7 | >99% D | Safe D |
| MA-05 | Katherine Clark (D) vs. Fleming (I) | D | D+51.4 | >99% D | Safe D |
| MA-06 | Dan Koh (D) vs. Micah Jones (R) | D | D+24.2 | >99% D | Safe D |
| MA-07 | Ayanna Pressley (D) vs. Linardon (I) | D | D+67.7 | >99% D | Safe D |
| MA-08 | Stephen Lynch (D) vs. Robert G. Burke (R) | D | D+34.7 | >99% D | Safe D |
| MA-09 | Bill Keating (D) vs. Robert MacAllister (R) | D | D+16.7 | 98% D | Safe D |
Vote by group
Own vote of likely voters in each group, two-party margin.DemocratsRepublicans
Age
Gender
Education
Area
By county
Foresight's margin in each county.
County margins in points. Faded: fewer than 5 respondents. Blank: no respondents.
How this forecast is made: read the method.