2026 midterm forecast
Massachusetts
Three races on Massachusetts's November 3 ballot: the Senate, the governor and all 9 House seats.
Forecast published October 30, 2026
Massachusetts Senate
Ed Markey (D) vs. John Deaton (R)
Chance to win
>99%
Markey
Projected margin
D+32.4
Deaton faces long odds against Markey in the Massachusetts Senate race
Read the forecastMassachusetts governor
Maura Healey (D) vs. Mike Minogue (R)
Chance to win
>99%
Healey
Projected margin
D+29.7
Healey heads for a lopsided reelection win in Massachusetts
Read the forecastMassachusetts House
All 9 House seats
Expected seats
9 D · 0 R
Statewide House vote
D+32.1
Massachusetts is on track for another all-Democratic House delegation
Read the forecast