2026 midterm forecast

Maryland

Two races on Maryland's November 3 ballot: the governor and all 8 House seats.

Forecast published October 30, 2026

Maryland governor

Wes Moore (D) vs. Dan Cox (R)

Chance to win

>99%

Moore

Projected margin

D+36.0

Cox's rural edge is not enough against Moore in Maryland

All 8 House seats

Expected seats

7 D · 1 R

Statewide House vote

D+38.3

Maryland's 7-1 Democratic House split looks set to hold