2026 midterm forecast
Kentucky
Two races on Kentucky's November 3 ballot: the Senate and all 6 House seats.
Forecast published October 30, 2026
Kentucky Senate
Charles Booker (D) vs. Andy Barr (R)
Chance to win
>99%
Barr
Projected margin
R+23.2
Barr is the clear favorite to succeed McConnell in Kentucky
Read the forecastKentucky House
All 6 House seats
Expected seats
1 D · 5 R
Statewide House vote
R+24.1
KY-06 is the only Kentucky House seat anywhere near competitive
Read the forecast