2026 midterm forecast
Hawaii
Two races on Hawaii's November 3 ballot: the governor and all 2 House seats.
Forecast published October 30, 2026
Hawaii governor
Josh Green (D) vs. Gary Cordery (R)
Chance to win
>99%
Green
Projected margin
D+30.0
Green is cruising toward reelection in Hawaii
Read the forecastHawaii House
All 2 House seats
Expected seats
2 D · 0 R
Statewide House vote
D+31.8
Hawaii's two House seats appear out of reach for Republicans
Read the forecast