2026 midterm forecast
Connecticut
Two races on Connecticut's November 3 ballot: the governor and all 5 House seats.
Forecast published October 30, 2026
Connecticut governor
Ned Lamont (D) vs. Ryan Fazio (R)
Chance to win
>99%
Lamont
Projected margin
D+21.6
Lamont is on course for a lopsided win in Connecticut
Read the forecastConnecticut House
All 5 House seats
Expected seats
5 D · 0 R
Statewide House vote
D+21.6
Connecticut's five House seats should stay in Democratic hands
Read the forecast