2026 midterm forecast
California
Two races on California's November 3 ballot: the governor and all 52 House seats.
Forecast published October 30, 2026
California governor
Xavier Becerra (D) vs. Steve Hilton (R)
Chance to win
>99%
Becerra
Projected margin
D+23.0
Becerra holds a 23-point lead in the race to replace Newsom
Read the forecastCalifornia House
All 52 House seats
Expected seats
47 D · 5 R
Statewide House vote
D+26.7
Democrats eye four Republican seats under California's new map
Read the forecast