2026 midterm forecast
West Virginia House
All 2 House seats
Forecast published October 30, 2026 · Election Day is November 3, 2026
Foresight forecast
Expected seats
0 D · 2 R
of 2
Seats today
0 D · 2 R
Statewide House vote
R+38.5
>99% R · ±13 points, 95% range
Statewide two-party House vote · 27% of likely voters undecided
Key insights
West Virginia's House races offer Democrats little opening
Neither West Virginia district looks competitive, and Republicans are expected to keep both. WV-02, the closer of the two, favors them by 36.0 points, and WV-01 by 42.6.
Many likely voters have yet to make up their minds. Among those without a college degree, Republicans lead by 48.5 points, far more than their 10.2-point edge with graduates.
The race
West Virginia elects 2 members of the U.S. House. Today's delegation: 2 Republicans.
District by district
Foresight's forecast for each district, as drawn for 2026.
| District | Candidates | Held by | Margin | Chance | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WV-01 | Vince George (D) vs. Carol Miller (R) | R | R+42.6 | >99% R | Safe R |
| WV-02 | Ace Parsi (D) vs. Riley Moore (R) | R | R+36.0 | >99% R | Safe R |
Vote by group
Own vote of likely voters in each group, two-party margin.DemocratsRepublicans
Age
Gender
Education
Area
By county
Foresight's margin in each county.
County margins in points. Faded: fewer than 5 respondents. Blank: no respondents.
How this forecast is made: read the method.